Health economics · Analysis and reporting

Acceptability Frontier and Expected Opportunity Loss

Paired synthetic PSA draws separate the expected-net-benefit decision from its probability and expected loss.

Download SVG Open code and full worked example

When to use it

Use coherent joint draws for all alternatives; choose by expected NMB rather than automatically by the highest CEAC probability.

How to read it

Current care, A, and B each have four paired synthetic cost/effect draws. The top line follows the highest expected-NMB choice; bottom lines show mean draw-specific regret.

Worked example

Paired synthetic PSA draws separate the expected-net-benefit decision from its probability and expected loss.

Current care, A, and B each have four paired synthetic cost/effect draws. The top line follows the highest expected-NMB choice; bottom lines show mean draw-specific regret.

Result: Use coherent joint draws for all alternatives; choose by expected NMB rather than automatically by the highest CEAC probability.

Produced by

Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Frontier and Expected Opportunity Loss Value of Information Analysis (EVPI, EVPPI, EVSI)

Reference: Primary method sources are listed in the linked producing-method entries. The displayed data are original synthetic teaching examples, not published patient results.